Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Crypto30 Oct 2026

North Korea is blamed for a $6.3bn crypto theft. The US rarely strikes back fast.

Hackers took about $6.3bn from Binance, the world's biggest crypto exchange, on 29 October. Experts blame North Korea. The US has not acted yet.

4 min read

What happened

The world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange has been hit by an industry-record $6.3bn (£4.7bn) hack, with experts identifying North Korea as the likely culprit.

Hackers took about $6.3bn from Binance on . Binance is the world’s biggest crypto exchange, with 335 million registered users. It stopped all deposits and withdrawals and said about $3bn had been frozen so far. Its co-chief executive, Richard Teng, said “your money is safe, and we’re covering every loss”.

Two crypto analysis firms blamed North Korea. TRM said with “high confidence” that the theft was the work of TraderTraitor, an elite North Korean hacking unit, and Chainalysis agreed. The security firm Check Point said the same unit is also known as Lazarus Group. North Korea has denied any part in hacks before. In 2025 the same unit took about $1.5bn from Bybit, an exchange in Dubai.

The US government has not named anyone yet. On Reuters reported that the FBI and the US Secret Service are working with Binance. But the FBI has published no notice about the theft, and neither the US Treasury nor the Justice Department has acted over it. On the Treasury put 10 people and one company on its sanctions list for helping North Korean IT workers cheat US businesses, but that action did not mention Binance.

Two US tools could follow. The Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) can add people, firms or crypto wallets to its sanctions list, which bars Americans from dealing with them. The Justice Department can go to court to take stolen money for good, known as civil forfeiture. By the end of 2025 it had seized about $72.6m stolen by North Korean hackers. The stablecoin firms Tether and Circle, which issue coins tied to the dollar, have frozen nearly $1.57bn and more than $800m linked to the theft.

Treasury will continue to use all available tools to protect U.S. businesses from these malicious activities and hold those responsible accountable.

Scott Bessent, US Treasury Secretary, on North Korean IT workers,

Sources: The Guardian (2), BBC, BBC, FBI, US Treasury, US Justice Department, US Justice Department

The Pattern

We looked for cases where hackers linked to North Korea stole $100m or more in crypto from a company that kept the money. Then we checked whether the US Treasury sanctioned someone it tied to that theft, or US prosecutors went to court to take its money, and how fast. We found eight such thefts since 2018. The US dealt with the three from 2023 in one action.

2 of 6
Two of six times the US acted within nine weeks, both in 2022 and both against a coin-mixing service. Twice it acted after about two years. After Bybit and DMM Bitcoin it has not acted.
2025 Dubai, Bybitnot held
On hackers took $1.5bn from Bybit. The FBI named North Korea’s TraderTraitor unit five days later. 616 days on, no US sanctions or court case name the theft. (FBI)
2024 Japan, DMM Bitcoinnot held
In about $300m was taken from DMM Bitcoin. Japan’s police, with the FBI, named TraderTraitor in . At least 882 days on, no US sanctions or court case name it. (National Police Agency of Japan)
Show the other 6 cases
2023 Seychelles, an exchangenot held
In about $107m was taken from an exchange in the Seychelles. The US went to court to take money seized from it in October and , about two years later. (US Justice Department)
2023 Panama, an exchangenot held
In about $138m was taken from an exchange in Panama. The US went to court to take money seized from it in October and , about two years later. (US Justice Department)
2023 Panama, a payment firmnot held
In about $100m was taken from a payment firm in Panama. The US went to court to take money seized from it in October and , more than two years later. (US Justice Department)
2022 Harmony, Horizon Bridgeheld
On about $100m was taken from Horizon Bridge. On , 46 days later, the US sanctioned Tornado Cash, a coin-mixing service that hid over $96m of it. (US Treasury)
2022 Axie Infinity, Roninheld
On almost $620m was taken from Ronin, a bridge for the game Axie Infinity. On , 44 days later, the US sanctioned Blender.io, a coin-mixing service that hid over $20.5m of it. (US Treasury)
2018 Unnamed exchange, 2018not held
In North Korean hackers took nearly $250m from an exchange. In , almost two years later, the US sanctioned two Chinese men who moved $91m of it and went to court to take money from it. (US Treasury)

The Read

Today is day one, and the end of the year is day 63. Both times the US moved inside that line were in 2022, 44 and 46 days after the theft, and each time it sanctioned a coin-mixing service that hid part of the money. In the Treasury lifted its sanctions on one of them, Tornado Cash. The other two US actions came after about two years, and both included going to court to take the money. About $2.3bn of the Binance money is frozen by two stablecoin firms, Tether and Circle, the kind of money prosecutors have taken to court before.

There are reasons for doubt. The closest example is Bybit: the same unit, named by the FBI in five days, and still no US sanctions or court action over it 616 days later. Each time the same two US bodies decided, the Treasury and the Justice Department. For four of the eight thefts, the US papers do not name the firm that was robbed, so they are known mainly through the US action itself. Bybit is also only 616 days old, while the slow US actions came after 672 to 867 days, so a late move on it is still possible.

Disclaimer

Hunch works only from sources that are publicly available, and publishes on the basis of analysis of that material. We do not form an editorial opinion or take sides, we give a simpler and wider view of news that already exists. If information in a source we used was inaccurate, distorted, or later disputed but had already entered our analysis, Hunch accepts no liability for that. Predictions are not advice. Phase 1 markets use Hunch Points, not money.

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