Platforms changed the text or plan after protest in eight of ten past fights over new terms. Of five that, like Meta now, went six days without fully backing down, two did so later, both on day eight.
History2 of 5Hunch36%
In seven of nine reports after a scare over AI spending since 2024, Microsoft forecast more spending for the next quarter. Twice it said spending would hold level or dip.
History78%Hunch44%
The ban is part of the EU's AI Act. When a new ban on a kind of online service began in the past, three of five times a regulator opened an investigation within six months, and twice none did.
History3 of 5Hunch63%
The EU put ChatGPT under its strictest online rules on 31 August. Two of seven services that got this status after the first round got a formal question within four months, and five did not.
History29%Hunch17%
Britain's competition regulator plans a special status for Microsoft that lets it set rules later. All eight earlier final decisions of this kind in the UK and Germany gave the status, and none brought rules on the same day.
History100%Hunch95%
From 6 November it is a crime in England and Wales to have or publish porn showing choking or incest. In four of five past bans on a kind of online content, a big site changed its service within two weeks.
History4 of 5Hunch68%
The bill makes platforms, from social media to chatbots, responsible for keeping users safe, with fines above $100m. Four of six times a late Australian bill got a short Senate review, it passed before the year ended.
History67%Hunch71%
NHS England's contract with Palantir for its Federated Data Platform reaches the end of its first three years on 15 February 2027. Five of six times a UK government had a right like this, it ended the contract.
History83%Hunch72%
The game has been delayed twice. Four of six delayed games and films came out on time after their makers backed the date weeks before, and twice the date moved again.
History67%Hunch90%
Hackers used the Asos app to threaten a data leak on 6 October. In all six past public threats like this, made before the company admitted anything, it confirmed the theft within a week.
History50%Hunch47%
The government took the final say on BT buying TalkTalk, and the competition watchdog reports by 19 October. In three of eight past deals like this, the minister approved without a longer inquiry within four weeks.
History38%Hunch56%
SpaceX has not given a date for the next Starship flight. In six past test flights that went partly wrong, the next flight came 63 to 84 days later in four of them.
History67%Hunch72%
Leaked files name owners of offshore casinos that sponsor English football clubs. In 2 of 6 past leaks like this, the government or lawmakers who could act made a formal promise within 10 weeks. Laws took 5 to 37 months.
History33%Hunch42%
After 6 of 9 US moves to defend an American company, the EU made a new ruling against a US company within 97 days.
History67%Hunch60%
In 10 of 10 similar big tech fines by Ireland's data regulator since 2021, the company took the fine to court.
History100%
In 3 of 7 cases since January 2025, an order or an appointment followed within 45 days of Donald Trump announcing a new body.
History57%Hunch66%
Of the last eight dated promises, one became a proposal within 31 days and six by the end of that year.
History75%Hunch62%
One of the last six not-ready signals on an EU border system got a formal new date or derogation from Brussels within 30 days.
History17%
Two of six quiet NHS patient-data expansions since 2014 drew an ICO, BMA or Health Committee challenge in 30 days; both were GP data.
History33%Hunch62%
Three of the last eight calls by AI chiefs to slow or regulate the industry drew a formal UK response inside 30 days, all in 2023.
History38%Hunch42%
None of the last seven lab disclosures of state-linked misuse was followed within 30 days by a change in who may use the model.
History0%Hunch22%
One of the last eight insider warnings about catastrophic AI risk was followed within 30 days by a step that restrained a model.
History12%Hunch30%
One of the eight duties a UK minister promised on technology firms with no Bill in hand reached a first reading in three months.
History12%Hunch18%
Five of the last eight GPT versions with a traceable rollout reached free ChatGPT users within 15 days; three stayed behind paid plans.
History62%Hunch45%
Four of the last eight CMA merger files started the Phase 1 clock within 56 days of opening; since May 2025 it is 16 of 29.
History50%
Three of the last four British digital laws reached the statute book and then waited on commencement orders before any duty applied.
History1 of 4Hunch17%
All of the last eight base flagship iPhones reached stores by the second Friday after the keynote.
History100%Hunch80%
One of the last five official milestones in Australia's under-16 ban reported it working.
History1 of 5
Nvidia finished above the top of its own revenue outlook in eight of the last eight quarters, and in every one of the last fourteen.
History100%Hunch80%
Five of the last six Ofcom age-check fines came with a second penalty for ignoring the regulator's letters.
History83%Hunch80%
Three of the last four proposed conduct requirements became binding notices within five months. The fourth was quietly dropped.
Four of the CMA's five decisions under the new regime came within 78 days of the responses being published.
Two of the five UK telecoms mergers that reached Phase 2 provisional findings were found to raise competition concerns.
Three of the four Google episodes here ended with the product shipped or restored inside a quarter.
History3 of 4Hunch18%
A delivery record moves the question from demand to margin. In three of the last four the shares fell within a month.
History3 of 4Hunch68%
Most landmark EU penalties reaching final judgment survived; two were wiped out entirely.
History3 of 5
AI reliably accelerates discovery. The clinic shows one positive mid-stage readout, one failure, one halted programme.
History1 of 4Hunch25%
EU deadlines already in force held; the ones ahead of industry readiness slipped or died. Article 50 is the next test.
History3 of 5Hunch78%
No preview-then-hold release since 2019 reached general availability within six weeks.
History0 of 5
All but one of the biggest IPOs traded above their listing price a month later. Facebook was the exception.
History4 of 5
Most announced robotaxi launch windows slipped, and the two that opened on time were narrower than promised.
History33%Hunch18%
Most recent UK deep-tech champions ended under foreign ownership or listed abroad. One stayed, on Japanese capital.
History3 of 4
Only one chip antitrust action since 2009 produced a lasting regulator win, and none reached a complaint in a year.
History1 of 4Hunch7%
Only one round of China-compliant Nvidia chips lasted more than a year. One government or the other closed the window.
History2 of 3Hunch22%
Area-by-area switch-offs have landed on schedule. The single national deadline, for the PSTN, moved by thirteen months.
History2 of 4Hunch72%
The company won outright once in four recent fights with UK regulators. Judicial review tests process, not policy.
History1 of 4Hunch25%
Most announced government-lab access agreements produced no public output. The joint UK-US evaluations did.
History33%
Incremental NHS App features delivered at national scale; the centrally procured mega-programme left a £12.7bn scar.
History2 of 4Hunch27%
Most UK app-based banks took six years or more from licence to first annual profit. Zopa managed it in three.
History3 of 4Hunch75%
Tech30 Oct
Three of six foreign firms accused of helping US technology reach China were blacklisted, and three were not.
History50%Hunch3%Resolves 19 Nov 2026
Tech28 Aug
Three of the last four British digital laws reached the statute book and then waited on commencement orders before any duty applied.
History1 of 4Hunch17%Resolves 27 Nov 2026
Tech27 Aug
One of the last five official milestones in Australia's under-16 ban reported it working.
Tech27 Aug
Nvidia finished above the top of its own revenue outlook in eight of the last eight quarters, and in every one of the last fourteen.
History100%Hunch80%Resolves 27 Nov 2026
Tech21 Aug
Five of the last six Ofcom age-check fines came with a second penalty for ignoring the regulator's letters.
History83%Hunch80%Resolves 20 Nov 2026
Tech18 Oct
In three of five new bans on a kind of online service, a regulator opened an investigation within six months, and twice none did.
History3 of 5Hunch63%Resolves 2 Jun 2027
Tech17 Oct
Two of seven services received a request or proceedings within 122 days. Shared actions mean this is not seven independent decisions.
History29%Hunch17%Resolves 31 Dec 2026
Tech16 Oct
Eight firm/activity status outcomes across seven decision groups were positive. The two UK mobile rows share one decision; legal-deadline compliance is a separate outcome.
History100%Hunch95%Resolves 13 Feb 2027
Tech16 Oct
In four of five past criminal bans on a kind of online content, a big website changed its service within two weeks, and once none did.
History4 of 5Hunch68%Resolves 20 Nov 2026