Rangers play Hibernian in the Scottish League Cup final on 13 December. Six of seven times Rangers or Celtic met a smaller club in this final with a manager chasing his first trophy there, they won, and once they lost on penalties.
History86%Hunch81%
Two of ten times a top club drew a much lower side in the last eight, it won the cup, and eight times it went out.
History20%Hunch13%
Harry Kane won the Ballon d'Or on 26 October. Four British stars won their sport's top world prize before the BBC vote of the same year: two came first and two finished outside the top three.
History0 of 4Hunch27%
Harry Kane won the Ballon d'Or and still plays for England. All five British stars who won their sport's top prize for the first time while still competing were not knighted in the next honours list.
History5 of 5Hunch96%
Palace are 17th in the Premier League. Five of six new coaches whose club tied their future to one game were gone within five weeks, and the sixth after 37 days.
History83%Hunch74%
Carrick got the job for good in May after a spell in temporary charge. Of ten past coaches given the job for good after such a spell at a top European club, six were sacked during the next season.
History29%Hunch39%
FIFA wants to pick a winner by the end of the year, and streaming services such as Netflix are looking. In five of nine past sales of rights to big tournaments, the channel that had them lost them.
History56%Hunch67%
In five of nine three-team one-day series hosted by a team that had won its last two home series, the host won most of its group games against the visitors, and four times it did not.
History56%Hunch55%
The season ends in Dubai on 15 November. In six of eight past seasons a first-time leader with three events left won it, and twice a rival passed him at the final event.
History75%Hunch72%
Canada beat England in Toronto and play them again in Ottawa six days later. In all four women's rugby series since 2012 where a team lost and played the same side away within a week, the winners won again.
History4 of 4Hunch45%
Milwaukee start the final at home after eight days of rest. Since 1969, six teams reached the final the same way, unbeaten and rested with home games first, and two of them won the title.
History33%Hunch44%
Some FIFA council members want the peace prize scrapped, and others want politics taken out of it. In eight of nine past rows over a prize, the board in charge changed it in some way, and only once did it scrap it for good.
History89%Hunch73%
Josh Kushner and Bob Iger agreed to buy the Los Angeles Lakers on 12 August. NBA owners approved all ten recent team sales, but two of the three with a known deal day took longer than 110 days.
History100%Hunch75%
Inter Miami, the MLS champions, changed coach in August after five games without a win. Five of seven champions who changed coach during a bad run went out in their first knockout round, all in European two-leg rounds.
History71%Hunch56%
One of four times a Spanish ban covered a big match, the player got to play it, and three times he missed the game.
History1 of 4Hunch18%
Five of seven visiting teams that began their season in Australia with one-day games lost the series, and two won it.
History71%Hunch70%
Nine of ten times the much stronger team went through after playing the first game away, and once it went out.
History90%Hunch92%
Three of ten times a first-time year-end number one won the season's final event, and seven times they lost it.
History30%Hunch36%
In two of four seasons like this one, the leader was champion by the next race, and in two only at the last race.
History2 of 4Hunch53%
Four of five champions fighting at home kept their titles against a challenger out of the ring for 18 months, and one lost them.
History4 of 5Hunch87%
None of nine drivers who won a late race from third to fifth place, while the leader gained too, took the title.
History0%Hunch4%
Three of four times a sports body got a new chair mid-plan, the plan went ahead, and once it was dropped.
History3 of 4Hunch74%
The Valkyries have home advantage and beat the Dream in every game this season. In five of seven NBA finals with a team in that spot, it won the title, and twice it lost after leading the series.
History71%Hunch60%
In one of six such appeals the sports court gave a team back what it won on the pitch, and five times the penalty stayed.
History17%
Three of five teams with two stars that added another in one summer finished first in their conference.
History3 of 5Hunch40%
Six of thirteen clubs bottom without a win after five games went down, and seven stayed up.
History46%Hunch34%
In three of four such tries, a two-time champion that skipped the first round won its first series.
History3 of 4Hunch64%
In six of eight Nations League groups in 2024, the team top with two games left finished first.
History75%Hunch69%
In none of eight walkouts was the star in the team for the very next games; four returned only under a new coach.
History0%Hunch14%
In seven of nine World Cup years a player from the champion team won the Ballon d'Or. Both misses went to the beaten finalist.
History78%Hunch55%
Of 31 bills the US Senate passed this way before an election, eight became law in time, all in a session after the vote.
History26%Hunch31%
In two of four similar European cases, a new or acting head of referees was named within eight days of the arrests.
History2 of 4Hunch64%
Last year's winners back as favourite with the same team won four of nine times. Three finished fourth or lower.
History44%Hunch40%
Five of six British teams this far ahead went through. The one exit was Wales men, on penalties in 2026.
History83%Hunch76%
One of seven races kept on the calendar after war or unrest in the region went ahead on its date and at its track.
History14%Hunch14%
In three of five such cases, the club found guilty appealed against the ruling.
History3 of 5Hunch60%
Three of eight sides that had waited over 20 years for a title, and lost a final on the way, won their next final.
History38%Hunch38%
In six of nine races where the favourite ran at world record pace from the start, the record fell.
History67%Hunch45%
Five of eight big heavyweight fights paid for by Saudi money since 2019 went ahead on the date and at the place announced.
History62%Hunch58%
Teams with baseball's best record won their first playoff series in 5 of the last 8 full seasons, and 2 of the 4 since 2022.
History62%Hunch57%
One of the last eight great players given a farewell friendly scored in it: Robbie Keane for Ireland in 2016.
History0 of 5Hunch12%
Four of the last seven academy players who forced an exit at 15 to 17 were registered with a new club within a month.
History100%Hunch55%
Seven of the last eight officials named in an admitted refereeing error were left out of the next Premier League round.
History88%
Seven of the last eight changes at the top of the WTA rankings survived four weeks. Those eight are the full record since 2019.
History88%Hunch76%
One of the last six Diamond League finals produced a senior world record: two fell in Eugene in 2023, none in the other five years.
History17%Hunch28%
Defending champions have won five of the last eight NFL kickoff games they played, and 16 of 21 since the game became theirs in 2004.
History62%Hunch60%
One of the last six major champions who made a Grand Slam their first tournament after four or more months out went on to win it; two of the six reached the final.
History17%Hunch45%
One of the last eight defending US Open women's champions kept the title, Sabalenka herself in 2025; the other seven lost by the quarter-finals.
History12%Hunch32%
Five of the last seven championship leaders who started a race with an engine or gearbox penalty finished on the podium, and three of them won.
History71%Hunch45%
All four qualifying Premier League sellers since 2023 restocked before the same deadline. Forest have two days left to make it five.
History4 of 4
Four of the last eight approaches by a Premier League club for a rival's forward ended in a sale before the window shut.
History50%Hunch38%
In three of four windows checked, the summer's biggest Premier League fee went to another Premier League club.
History3 of 4Hunch85%
Three of the last four record fees agreed in the closing days of a window completed before it shut.
History3 of 4Hunch71%
Lord's has been Pakistan's most productive ground in England, and results there have far outnumbered draws since 1982.
History56%
Two of the last eight senior world records World Athletics ratified were confirmed inside 92 days; in 2025 it was nine of fourteen.
History25%Hunch35%
Four of the last eight Solheim Cups were won by the home side, three by the visitors and one was tied; the Americans defend in the Netherlands.
History50%Hunch48%
Three of the last eight England players stood down mid-inquiry were back inside four weeks.
History38%Hunch30%
Reigning Tour champions have tried the autumn double three times. One converted, and all three finished on the podium.
History1 of 3Hunch68%
Three of the last eight Premier League seasons had a manager sacked by 30 September, four of nine counting 2017-18.
History38%Hunch42%
Three of the last five England talismans who declared themselves finished came back.
History3 of 5Hunch15%
All four bloc-opposition races since 1974 put a formal challenger on the ballot; the incumbent lost only once.
History4 of 4Hunch70%
No opening-stage winner has gone on to win the Tour de France Femmes. The classification was settled in the mountains.
History0 of 4Hunch15%
Few of these £100m sagas closed before August. Three ran into August or later, and one collapsed outright.
History33%Hunch32%
No club that declared a star not for sale was negotiated down that window. The two who left had the clause paid.
History33%Hunch16%
England have won most of their World Cup meetings with Argentina, but only one of the three knockout ties.
Most recent Golden Boot winners never scored in a final, and three added nothing after the quarter-finals.
History33%
Yellow at the first rest day has been a coin flip over ten Tours. Among genuine GC favourites it won five of seven.
History50%Hunch79%
Only two reigning European champions went on to win the World Cup. Four more reached the final; most exited earlier.
History14%
No British player has won an Open at Royal Birkdale. A home player finished in the top five at each of the last three.
Three of the last six first-time women's major champions won their opening match at their next event; three did not.
History50%Hunch55%
In all four modern regulation resets the team that mastered the new rules took the title, even as the lead shrank.
History4 of 4Hunch74%
The quarter-final is where England's tournaments usually end, though they have climbed it twice since 1990.
History1 of 5Hunch33%
England have lost once in nine meetings with Fiji. That defeat came in the last home fixture, at Twickenham in 2023.
History4 of 5Hunch71%
India have won every multi-match T20I series played in England. England's wins have come only in one-off games.
History2 of 4Hunch57%
Maiden quarter-finals this century have almost always ended there. Morocco in 2022 reached the semi-finals.
History1 of 5Hunch38%
Every Wimbledon women's champion since 2017 won the title for the first time. No former champion is in the draw.
History3 of 4Hunch55%
Pogacar leads their five Tour duels three to two, and every one was decided in the third week by whoever led into it.
History3 of 5
In every recent World Cup knockout rematch the winner of the first meeting won again. France beat Morocco in 2022.
History0 of 4Hunch34%
The DFB has named a successor within six weeks whenever the exit was a crisis. Only the planned handover took longer.
History3 of 4Hunch84%
No Open champion has retained the Claret Jug since 2008, and that defence came at Birkdale.
History0%
Two of the last five Championship play-off winners survived their first Premier League season, by opposite methods.
History2 of 5Hunch40%
Only one successor to a nine-year reign lasted beyond two full seasons, and he was promoted from inside the club.
History1 of 5
The NBA has crowned a different champion in each of the last eight seasons. None has repeated since 2018.
History100%
Sacking a title-winning manager won the league back inside two seasons twice, and buried Leicester.
History2 of 5Hunch40%
None of Chelsea's last seven permanent head coaches began a third season. Four won a trophy and it made no difference.
History0%
The mile record has stood for 27 years and no announced attempt has succeeded. The closest missed by 0.60s.
History0 of 2Hunch16%
Sports31 Oct
Three of nine champions who were level at the top after eight games won the league again, and six lost the title.
History33%Hunch42%Resolves 30 May 2027
Sports31 Oct
Two of ten times a top club drew a much lower side in the last eight, it won the cup, and eight times it went out.
History20%Hunch13%Resolves 21 Mar 2027
Sports06 Oct
Six of eight group leaders with two games remaining finished first. Separately, first place remained undecided after the penultimate scheduled matchday in six of eight groups. Sweden and North Macedonia were the exceptions. Romania's abandoned match was awarded on 20 November 2024, after the final scheduled matchday; that decision is not backdated for this timing count.
History75%Hunch69%Resolves 17 Nov 2026
Sports06 Oct
In none of eight walkouts was the star in the team for the very next games; four returned only under a new coach.
History0%Hunch14%Resolves 14 Nov 2026
Sports03 Oct
Of 31 bills the US Senate passed this way before an election, eight became law in time, all in a session after the vote.
History26%Hunch31%Resolves 15 Jan 2027
Sports26 Sep
One of seven races kept on the calendar after war or unrest in the region went ahead on its date and at its track.
History14%Hunch14%Resolves 29 Nov 2026
Sports26 Sep
In three of five such cases, the club found guilty appealed against the ruling.
History3 of 5Hunch60%Resolves 26 Dec 2026
Sports25 Sep
Five of eight big heavyweight fights paid for by Saudi money since 2019 went ahead on the date and at the place announced.
History62%Hunch58%Resolves 12 Dec 2026
Sports16 Sep
One of the last eight great players given a farewell friendly scored in it: Robbie Keane for Ireland in 2016.
History0 of 5Hunch12%Resolves 18 Dec 2026
Sports15 Sep
Four of the last seven academy players who forced an exit at 15 to 17 were registered with a new club within a month.
History100%Hunch55%Resolves 16 Dec 2026
Sports14 Sep
Seven of the last eight officials named in an admitted refereeing error were left out of the next Premier League round.
Sports28 Aug
Two of the last eight senior world records World Athletics ratified were confirmed inside 92 days; in 2025 it was nine of fourteen.
History25%Hunch35%Resolves 27 Nov 2026