Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Formula 11 Sep 2026

F1 leader Kimi Antonelli starts at the back. Most such leaders made the podium.

Kimi Antonelli takes a new power unit and starts at the back at Monza on 6 September. Lando Norris won a second race in a row at Zandvoort a week ago.

3 min read

What happened

Championship leader Kimi Antonelli will take a full new power unit and start the Italian Grand Prix towards the back of the grid, Mercedes confirmed, with Toto Wolff saying the team’s calculations made Monza the best track to take the penalty; Antonelli is 59 points clear in the standings.

Kimi Antonelli starts near the back on Sunday . Mercedes confirmed that he will take a complete new engine, called a power unit in F1, at his home race at Monza. He arrives 59 points clear in the championship in his second season.

Toto Wolff said in Zandvoort that the team’s calculations made Monza the best track to take the penalty. He said the decision was about the championship and not about public relations.

McLaren are in better form. Lando Norris won the Dutch Grand Prix on , his second win in a row, ahead of Antonelli and George Russell. The race was stopped early on after Max Verstappen crashed.

A leader starting at the back is rare but has happened before. Since 2016 the driver at the top of the standings has taken a grid penalty for new engine or gearbox parts seven times. The first was Hamilton’s 55-place penalty at Spa in 2016, and the latest was Verstappen’s 10-place penalty at the same track in 2024.

Sources: Formula 1, FIA, BBC, Sky Sports

The Pattern

We looked at every race since 2016 where the championship leader started with a grid penalty for new engine or gearbox parts, and at where he finished. There were seven, and in five of them the leader fought back into the top three. Results come from BBC Sport’s race reports.

5 of 7
Five of the last seven championship leaders who started with a grid penalty for engine or gearbox parts finished on the podium: Hamilton from 21st at Spa in 2016, Verstappen from the back row in Russia in 2021, and Verstappen's three wins from 14th, seventh and sixth in 2022 and 2023. The two misses were Hamilton's fifth from 11th in Turkey in 2021 and Verstappen's fourth from 11th at Spa in 2024. That is the full record since 2016.
2024 Verstappen, Belgiumnot held
: the championship leader took a 10-place penalty for exceeding his engine allowance, started 11th and finished fourth after George Russell’s disqualification; the strategy models had expected him to win. (BBC Sport)
2023 Verstappen, Belgiumheld
: a five-place penalty for gearbox parts dropped Verstappen from pole to sixth; he led a Red Bull one-two and extended his lead to 125 points. (BBC Sport)
Show the other 5 cases
2022 Verstappen, Italyheld
: a five-place penalty for engine parts put Verstappen seventh on the Monza grid; he was second within five laps and won, leaving him 116 points clear. (BBC Sport)
2022 Verstappen, Belgiumheld
: the championship leader started 14th after an engine-parts penalty, led by lap 18 and won by a distance from Perez. (BBC Sport)
2021 Verstappen, Russiaheld
: Verstappen, leading Hamilton on arrival, started from the back row after an engine penalty and came through late rain to finish second; Hamilton’s win put him two points ahead. (BBC Sport)
2021 Hamilton, Turkeynot held
: Hamilton, leading on arrival, started 11th after a penalty for engine parts, ran third with ten laps left, and finished fifth after a late tyre stop; Verstappen retook the lead. (BBC Sport)
2016 Hamilton, Belgiumheld
: Hamilton started 21st after a raft of engine penalties and finished third behind Rosberg and Ricciardo, keeping the championship lead by nine points. (bbc.com)

The Read

History points to a podium more than a win. Leaders who take these penalties usually lead because they have the fastest car, and in five of the seven races the car carried them back into the top three. Only Verstappen, at his peak, turned a penalty into a win. The win market starts low because Ferrari and McLaren were expected to be the fastest cars at Monza.

The warning is the two misses. In both, the leader started 11th and found the cars in the middle of the field harder to pass than the models said, at Spa in 2024 and in Turkey in 2021. Antonelli will start behind more cars than either of them.

A crash on the first lap, or a safety car at the wrong moment, could trap him behind slower cars and end the podium hopes. The Mercedes market also depends on George Russell, who starts wherever his car qualifies.

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