The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping opens in US cinemas on 20 November. Early forecasts put its first weekend at $60 million or more.
4 of 10Four of ten such films opened 78% or more above their first forecast, and six opened no more than 4% above it.
Will Sunrise on the Reaping open with $105M+ in North America?
Highland Council may sell a bust abroad unless Invergordon's museum raises £3.1m by 1 December. Ten times since 2012 a UK buyer outside national and university museums got more time, and it bought the work four times but not the other six.
Artificial, a dark film about OpenAI, will compete as a comedy at the Golden Globes. Of nine serious festival films entered this way in 2017, 2020, 2024 and 2025, none won the comedy prize.
Godzilla Minus Zero opens in North America on 6 November. $28 million would be 2.45 times the first film's opening. Four of ten sequels to films not in English grew that much, and six did not.
Spain and Slovenia stayed away from Eurovision 2026 over Israel and have until December to decide on 2027. Four of seven countries that boycotted the contest came back the next year, and the three that did not all left over Israel.
Dictionary.com named 'maxxing' its word of 2026 on 26 October. In one of the last ten years Oxford named a word another dictionary had picked first, and nine times it chose a word of its own.
The film took $15m in its first US weekend and came second. One of nine past documentaries that were hits abroad opened in the UK top three, and the other eight came ninth or lower.
Babydoll is number two behind Patient Zero, in its third week at the top. In two of nine past races between a viral song at number two and a star's new hit, the viral song took the top spot.
14th, Ava DuVernay's film about the 14th Amendment to the US Constitution, leads the Critics Choice Documentary Awards. Two of ten times the film with the most nominations won best documentary, and eight times another film won.
Horror films in their fourth weekend before Halloween, with new horror films opening, added 10% or more over the next three weekends twelve times out of thirty-one.
Directors with an earlier Best Picture nominee have had weak first weekends before. One of six such films still got a Best Picture nomination: Steven Spielberg's West Side Story.
The second series of The Celebrity Traitors on the BBC ends in late October. In all five past series of the game with a famous cast, a Traitor reached the final, and Traitors won the prize three times.
Every year since 2019 the Recording Academy has brought in a big group of new voters. In three of six years women's share of the top nominations then went up, and in three it did not.
Artificial was dropped by Amazon MGM and picked up by Neon, which opens it on Christmas Day. Five of six past festival films about famous living people opened in a few cinemas first and went wide later.
The Guardian's art critic wants Kira Freije to win. Tanoa Sasraku is the most tipped. In eight similar years, the critic's pick won three times, and so did the most tipped.
Universal's animated film Forgotten Island opened fifth in the US with $13m against an $80m budget. In four of six similar films, takings fell by less than 40% in the second weekend.
David Hockney died in June, and the first painting from his dog series to reach auction is sold at Christie's on 14 October. In five of ten similar sales, the price beat the top estimate.
In seven of nine such warnings since 2010, the broadcaster later named a channel or service it would cut.
Five of the last six big stadium and festival sales sold out within a month of the announcement; Beyoncé's 2025 London run did not.
Four of the last six commissioning rebuilds at UK broadcasters were followed within 90 days by a named commissioner leaving.
Five of the last eight TIFF People's Choice winners had their world premiere in Toronto.
Three of the last eight films that opened Venice in competition took an official award, each a Volpi Cup for acting; none won the Golden Lion.
Seven of the last eight long Hot 100 reigns ended by week 19; the only one to go further was a Christmas song, over seven Decembers.
Five of the last eight Fringes cleared 2.5 million tickets, and the last two landed within a few thousand of each other.
Three of the last seven Carnival arrest totals passed 400, including last year's 528; the run since 2022 has risen every year.
Two of the last four films to cross $2bn on a first run kept earning afterwards, and both crossed fast.
Four of the last eight Mercury winners had been shortlisted in the five years before they won; four were first-timers.
Five of the last eight reigning drama winners nominated again kept the Emmy; the three that lost were Mad Men in 2012, Homeland in 2013 and The Handmaid's Tale in 2018.
Four singles have reached fifteen weeks at No 1 and exactly half saw a sixteenth. One was deleted by the band itself.
Three of the four Glastonbury sales here cleared in an hour or less; eight of the last nine did in the full record.
Every modern blockbuster sellout ended with the institution adding capacity within the run. The mechanism differed.
The King met Harry twice in six visits, both after an extraordinary trigger. Four routine charity trips produced none.
Most leg-driven runs stalled within $90m of the line. Michael needs $23m with international play still booked.
Previous handovers were settled between two and twenty months. This vacancy has now run for fifty-seven.
Landmark jukebox musicals either run for seven years or more or close within one. The middle barely exists.
Mega-debuts since 2021 split by streaming depth: deep ones held No 1 for five weeks or more, sales-led ones for two.
Every Pixar sequel opening above $110m has crossed $1bn worldwide. Only the speed varied.
All but one comparable legacy-act stadium run since 2016 sold out and added dates. The exception was cancelled.
Of the comparable low-budget horror breakouts, only It cleared $400m. Backrooms sits at $350m with the decay ahead.
Two-time winners are rare across 79 editions, but three of the ten doubles have been minted in the last fifteen years.
Fewer than half the longlists since 2019 carried a former winner, and the misses came in a consecutive block.
Half the director-generals since 1987 left in crisis, half on their own terms.
Trophy estates beat their low estimates in nearly every recent season, yet season-wide totals still fell twice.
Two of the last four streaming price rises were followed by subscriber growth in the next quarter. Both were Spotify's own; the two video cases went the other way.
Four of ten such films opened 78% or more above their first forecast, and six opened no more than 4% above it.
Two of ten times the film with the most nominations won best documentary, and eight times another film won.
One of six films by past Best Picture directors that opened weakly still got a Best Picture nomination.
In three of six years after a big intake of new voters, women's share of top Grammy nominations went up.
Five of six such films opened in a few cinemas at Christmas and went wide later; one opened wide on Christmas Day.
In three of eight Turner Prize years, the artist the Guardian's critic picked when the show opened went on to win.