Tue, 19 May 2026
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UK football28 Aug 2026

Liverpool agree £120m for Bradley Barcola. Most such late deals went through.

Liverpool agreed to pay Paris Saint-Germain about €140m for Bradley Barcola. The deadline for Premier League transfers is 11pm on 1 September.

4 min read

What happened

ESPN reports Liverpool have agreed a fee of around €140m with Paris Saint-Germain for Bradley Barcola, with a five-year contract in place and the club awaiting PSG clearance for a medical.

The fee, about £120m, includes at least £100m guaranteed. Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) first asked for a reported £145m. Barcola, a 23-year-old France forward, would be Liverpool’s second most expensive signing, after Alexander Isak at £125m.

The move is not complete. Liverpool are waiting for PSG to allow the player’s medical check. The manager said in public that he hoped for good news but that the club were not there yet. ESPN also reports that Liverpool are following Ismaïla Sarr while the Barcola deal waits.

The window closes at 11pm UK time on Tuesday . It opened on . A deal sheet sent in correctly before the deadline gives up to two extra hours to finish the paperwork. Liverpool play Nottingham Forest at Anfield on .

Sources: ESPN (2), Premier League, Al Jazeera

The Pattern

We looked for big transfer fees agreed by Premier League clubs in the last days of a window since 2022, and asked whether the deal was done before the window shut. We found four. In the one that failed, the fee was agreed and the selling club pulled out because it had not found a replacement.

3 of 4
Three of the last four comparable late-window deals since 2022 completed before the window shut, two of them on deadline day itself. The exception is the most instructive: Liverpool's £35m move for Marc Guehi had an agreed fee, a sanctioned medical and a submitted deal sheet, and still died when Crystal Palace could not find a replacement defender. That is the live risk here. PSG's willingness to lose a forward, not Liverpool's willingness to pay, is what decides this one. The full record is the same four cases, 2022 to 2025.
2022 Manchester United, Antonyheld
Manchester United agreed £86m with Ajax for Antony and completed the signing on deadline day, then the biggest deadline-day fee on record. (Sky Sports)
2023 Chelsea, Enzo Fernándezheld
Chelsea completed the signing of Enzo Fernández from Benfica for a then British record £106.8m on the final day of the January window, after an earlier attempt in the same window had collapsed. (Sky Sports)
Show the other 2 cases
2025 Liverpool, Isakheld
Liverpool completed the British record signing of Alexander Isak from Newcastle for £125m on deadline day, after an earlier £110m offer had been rejected. (Premier League)
2025 Liverpool, Guéhinot held
On the same day Liverpool’s £35m move for Marc Guéhi collapsed. The fee was agreed, the medical was permitted and a deal sheet was submitted, and Crystal Palace pulled out at the last hour after failing to sign a replacement. (Sky Sports)

The Read

History points to a completed deal. The fee is agreed at €140m after a first asking price of £145m, which looks like a negotiation that has ended, and the player’s five-year contract is in place. Liverpool have done this twice in twelve months, including Isak on deadline day after a first offer was turned down. PSG have other players in that position, and the cost of their squad gives them a reason to take a fee above £100m for a player with two years left on his contract.

The weak point is that the last step belongs to PSG. Only PSG can clear the medical. A year ago Crystal Palace walked away from an agreed fee for Guéhi at the last hour, even with a deal sheet sent, because they had not found a replacement. PSG are the defending European champions, their Champions League games start on , and they have no clear reason to weaken their attack in the four days before.

PSG’s own search is the thing to watch. If they find no replacement before Tuesday evening, the deal is likely to fail as Guéhi’s did.

Disclaimer

Hunch works only from sources that are publicly available, and publishes on the basis of analysis of that material. We do not form an editorial opinion or take sides, we give a simpler and wider view of news that already exists. If information in a source we used was inaccurate, distorted, or later disputed but had already entered our analysis, Hunch accepts no liability for that. Predictions are not advice. Phase 1 markets use Hunch Points, not money.

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