Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
UK football29 Jun 2026

Enzo Maresca follows Pep Guardiola. Few such heirs lasted past two seasons.

Manchester City confirmed Enzo Maresca as Pep Guardiola's successor on 29 June, on a three-year contract. He inherits ten years and 20 trophies.

4 min read

What happened

City confirmed Maresca on a three-year deal; the Italian apologised to Chelsea supporters for his mid-season exit and will pay part of the compensation himself under two confidential settlements.

Pep Guardiola left Manchester City after ten years and 20 major trophies, the most successful manager in the club’s history. He asked people not to ask why he left. There was no reason, he said, but deep inside he knew it was his time. He stays in the City Football Group as a global ambassador.

City announced Enzo Maresca as the new manager on . He had resigned from Chelsea on New Year’s Day, 18 months into the job and six months after winning the Club World Cup.

In autumn 2025 Maresca had told Chelsea that City had approached him about one day taking over from Guardiola. British media reported the compensation deal at about £17m.

City have not waited for the new manager to buy players. They have already signed Zadok Yohanna from AIK for £24.2m, Pascal Struijk from Leeds for £20m, Costinha from Olympiakos for £11m and Rodrigo Rêgo from Benfica for £3m.

Maresca’s first competitive game is on , the Community Shield against champions Arsenal in Cardiff. The league season starts six days later.

Sources: Sky Sports (2, 3), Manchester City, ESPN (2), Al Jazeera, Premier League

The Pattern

We looked at English clubs that replaced a manager who had been in charge for nine years or more. We found five, and four of the new managers were gone within two seasons. The one who lasted longer, Bob Paisley at Liverpool, had been the assistant of the man he replaced.

1 of 5
Of five successors to English managerial reigns of nine years or more, only 1 of 5 survived beyond two full seasons. The exception, Bob Paisley, was the insider promoted from within — the precedent City are consciously leaning on with a former Guardiola assistant.
2024 Liverpool, Slotnot held
Liverpool replaced Jürgen Klopp (9 years) with Arne Slot, who won the title in his first season — and was still dismissed after his second.
2018 Arsenal, Emerynot held
Arsenal replaced Arsène Wenger (22 years) with Unai Emery: a 5th-place finish, then sacked after 18 months.
Show the other 3 cases
2013 Manchester United, Moyesnot held
Manchester United replaced Sir Alex Ferguson (26 years) with David Moyes, hand-picked by Ferguson: 7th place, sacked inside 10 months.
1974 Liverpool, Paisleyheld
Liverpool replaced Bill Shankly (15 years) with his assistant Bob Paisley — who won six league titles and three European Cups, out-achieving the legend.
1969 Manchester United, McGuinnessnot held
Manchester United replaced Sir Matt Busby (24 years) with Wilf McGuinness, sacked within 18 months as Busby returned to the job.

The Read

History is against a long stay. Four of the five men who took over from a long-serving English manager were gone within two seasons. Maresca’s supporters see him as the next Bob Paisley. He coached City’s youth team, sat beside Guardiola as senior assistant during the domestic treble season of 2018-19, and plays a similar style of football. The people in charge of buying players and running the football side did not leave with Guardiola.

The weak point is that the failures were also insiders and chosen heirs. Sir Alex Ferguson hand-picked David Moyes, and Wilf McGuinness was promoted from within, and both were gone inside 18 months. Maresca himself walked out of Chelsea in the middle of a season after one league win in seven. The standard he inherits is 20 trophies in ten years, and five cases is a small record.

The market asks about spending, and there City have moved early. Four signings are already confirmed, and one more large deal would take the summer total past £100m by .

Disclaimer

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