Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch

Lionel Messi's farewell for Argentina is on 6 October. Few greats scored in theirs.

Argentina have called up Lionel Messi for a friendly against Benin in Buenos Aires on 6 October. It will be his last game for his country.

3 min read

What happened

Argentina named Lionel Messi on for a friendly against Benin at the Estadio Monumental in Buenos Aires on , a match set up as his farewell to international football.

Messi is called up only for the last of three home friendlies in the October international window. Argentina play Bolivia in Córdoba on and Burkina Faso in Buenos Aires on . Messi plays only against Benin at River Plate’s Estadio Monumental on . The stadium holds 85,000.

The president of the Argentine Football Association (AFA), Claudio Tapia, said the game is meant to give Messi a proper farewell. He invited the players who won the 2022 World Cup to attend.

Messi said on that he was retiring from the national team, seven weeks after Argentina lost the 2026 World Cup final to Spain. In his statement he said that not much of his career was left.

He leaves as Argentina’s record scorer with 125 goals and the player with the most games for the country, 207. He has won the Ballon d’Or, the award for the world’s best player, eight times.

Messi still plays club football in the United States. His contract with Inter Miami runs to the end of the 2028 season. He scored four goals against Montreal on and his 19th league goal of the season against Nashville on . The Major League Soccer (MLS) season ends with the MLS Cup final on .

Sources: BBC, The Guardian (2, 3), Al Jazeera, MLS

The Pattern

We looked for friendlies since 2000 that were named in advance as a great attacking player’s last game for their country, in men’s and women’s football. Great means the player had their country’s record for goals or for games, or had won the Ballon d’Or or the FIFA world player award. Of the last eight, only Robbie Keane scored. Four of the eight are women’s games, which makes the comparison with Messi weaker. Wayne Rooney is the closest case: England recalled him for one game after he had already retired.

1 of 8
One of the last eight great players given a farewell friendly scored in it, 12.5 per cent. With the two older cases, Landon Donovan in 2014 and Ronaldo in 2011, it is 1 of 10. Most of the misses played under an hour.
2023 Canada, Sinclairnot held
Christine Sinclair, the top scorer in international football, captained Canada against Australia in Vancouver on and went off early in the second half. Quinn scored the only goal. (The Guardian)
2023 United States, Rapinoenot held
Megan Rapinoe, the 2019 Ballon d’Or winner, played her billed farewell for the United States against South Africa in Chicago on . The US won 2-0 and she set up the second goal. (The Guardian)
Show the other 6 cases
2021 United States, Lloydnot held
Carli Lloyd, twice world player of the year, played 65 minutes of her last US game, a 6-0 win over South Korea in Saint Paul on . The Korean goalkeeper stopped her twice. (BBC Sport)
2018 Australia, Cahillnot held
Tim Cahill, Australia’s record scorer, came on in the 82nd minute of a 3-0 win over Lebanon in Sydney on , as agreed with the coach in advance. He did not score. (BBC Sport)
2018 England, Rooneynot held
Wayne Rooney, England’s record scorer, was recalled for one game against the United States at Wembley on . He played 33 minutes of a 3-0 win and a stoppage-time save kept him off the scoresheet. (BBC Sport)
2018 Netherlands, Sneijdernot held
Wesley Sneijder, the most capped Dutch player, played 62 minutes of a 2-1 win over Peru in Amsterdam on . Memphis Depay scored both Dutch goals. (BBC Sport)
2016 Ireland, Keaneheld
Robbie Keane, Ireland’s record scorer, scored after 29 minutes against Oman in Dublin on , his 146th cap, and went off to an ovation after 56. Ireland won 4-0. (BBC Sport)
2015 United States, Wambachnot held
Abby Wambach, then the top scorer in international football, played 72 minutes of her last US game against China in New Orleans on . China won 1-0. (The Guardian)

The Read

History says a farewell friendly rarely ends with a goal for the player it honours. One of the last eight did, and one in ten if two older games are counted. Most of the players who missed were on the pitch for a short time: Tim Cahill played eight minutes, Wayne Rooney 33 and Landon Donovan 41. Robbie Keane, the one scorer, played 56 minutes against Oman.

Messi is different from most of them. He is a first-choice forward for Inter Miami and scored his 19th league goal of the season on . The nearest cases are Rooney, recalled by England for one game after he had retired, and Keane, who was also still playing in MLS when he said goodbye. Argentina have not said whether Messi will start or how long he will play.

The goal market is lost if the farewell turns into a short ceremonial run like Cahill’s, or if Messi does not play at all. The Guardian noted on that the invitation still needed his acceptance. The second market asks what comes after. Five players in these cases were still playing club football and had not named an end date, and none of them announced their retirement within ninety days of the farewell. Cahill came closest, at 128 days. Messi’s own words on are the reason this market does not sit at zero.

Disclaimer

Hunch works only from sources that are publicly available, and publishes on the basis of analysis of that material. We do not form an editorial opinion or take sides, we give a simpler and wider view of news that already exists. If information in a source we used was inaccurate, distorted, or later disputed but had already entered our analysis, Hunch accepts no liability for that. Predictions are not advice. Phase 1 markets use Hunch Points, not money.

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