Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market09 Oct 2026

Will a judge stop the FCC review of US TV network ABC by 3 Nov?

BinaryResolves 3 Nov 2026
History3 of 5
Hunch57%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: NO

Judge Loren AliKhan had not ruled on ABC's request for a preliminary injunction against the FCC review by 3 November 2026: a Reuters report of 4 November (read via CNA, off-list host) says a US judge has not yet issued a ruling, and Deadline says the judge has not said when she will rule; the CourtListener docket returns 403.

Resolved 3 Nov 2026
Why these numbers

Hunch. ABC's own reply is due on 14 October, so a ruling cannot come before mid-October, which leaves less time than in the fast past fights.

How this resolves

The court market resolves on Judge Loren AliKhan's orders in ABC v. FCC in the federal court in Washington: YES if by 3 November 2026 she grants a temporary or preliminary block on further FCC steps on ABC's station licences, in full or in part, and NO if she refuses, closes the case or has not ruled. The Guardian and BBC reports settle it if the court record cannot be opened.

The pattern behind it

3 of 5
In three of five such fights a judge stopped the government two days after the hearing. In the other two it took 44 and 182 days.

We looked for cases where a company or group asked a US federal court to stop a government body acting against it, and said the action was revenge for what it had said or published. We found 13 such fights since 2018. The five shown here are the closest to ABC's: the judge did not decide on the day of the first hearing. In all five the court in the end stopped the government or struck down its action.