Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market28 Oct 2026

Will Apple shares fall on 3 Nov after Ternus's first results?

BinaryResolves 3 Nov 2026
History78%
Hunch69%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: YES

Apple shares closed at $331.90 on Nasdaq on 3 November 2026, below the $338.32 close on 2 November, as Nasdaq's historical prices show and Reuters reports the shares sliding.

Resolved 3 Nov 2026
Why these numbers

Hunch. Tim Cook warned on 30 July that supply would be tight this quarter, so the weak part of these results is not news to investors on 2 November.

How this resolves

The share price market resolves on the official Nasdaq closing prices for Apple (AAPL): YES if the close on 3 November 2026 is strictly below the close on 2 November 2026, NO if strictly above, and an equal close makes it void. Reuters and The Guardian settle it together if the Nasdaq page does not open.

The pattern behind it

7 of 9
Seven of nine times since 2000 that a new chief executive of a big US company gave the first results after a long-serving leader, the shares went down, and twice they went up.

We looked for cases where a large company gave its quarterly results for the first time under a new chief executive, who had replaced a leader of eight years or more. We found nine such reports since 2000, all at US companies. Microsoft is there twice, in 2000 and 2014. One of the nine is Apple itself: Tim Cook’s first results in October 2011, when a new iPhone also went on sale after the quarter ended.