Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market15 Oct 2026

Will Australia's digital duty of care bill pass both houses in 2026?

BinaryResolves 26 Nov 2026
History67%
Hunch71%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolves 26 Nov 2026
Why these numbers

Hunch. Anika Wells said on 15 October that a right for users to sue platforms is something the government would contemplate, which is the Greens' main price for the votes Labor needs.

How this resolves

The passage market resolves on the bill's page in the Parliament of Australia bills database (bId=r7553): YES if the page shows the bill finally passed both houses, or a third reading in the second chamber, dated no later than the last sitting day of 2026, which the calendar sets at 26 November, and NO if the bill has not passed both houses by the end of that day. If the houses add sitting days in 2026 the last of them becomes the deadline and the resolve date is updated, and Guardian Australia and ABC News settle it if the official page is silent.

The pattern behind it

4 of 6
Four of six times a late Australian government bill went through a short Senate committee review, both houses passed it by the year's last sitting day. Both failures came when the opposition and a smaller party together ran the Senate.

We looked for cases where an Australian government introduced a bill in the last eight weeks of the parliamentary year, wanted it passed that year, and the Senate sent it to a committee due to report within two weeks of the last sitting day. We found six such bills from 2013 to 2024. Four passed both houses before the year ended, and two did not.