Does a named Channel 4 commissioning executive exit by 8 December 2026?
BinaryResolves 8 Dec 2026
History67%
Hunch72%
Your forecast
Yes
No
Resolves 8 Dec 2026
How this resolves
The commissioning-exit market resolves YES if, on or before 8 December 2026, Channel 4 confirms or Deadline, Variety or the Guardian media desk reports that a named Channel 4 commissioning editor, genre head or content director is leaving. Ian Katz, whose departure was announced in April, does not count, and nor do presenters, producers or non-editorial staff.
The pattern behind it
4 of 6
Four of the six commissioning rebuilds by UK broadcasters since 2020 were followed within 90 days by a named commissioning or content executive leaving: Sky in 2026, Channel 4 in 2024 and 2021, and the BBC in 2022. The two that were not are both BBC exercises in redistributing genre power, in December 2020 and June 2026. Both Channel 4 cases in this sample, in 2021 and 2024, were followed by reported named departures within 90 days. One caveat sits on the count: the BBC's June 2026 window does not close until 22 September, so it is scored on the public record to 10 September and could still turn.
We looked at every time since 2020 that a big UK broadcaster merged, closed or removed the teams that choose its programmes. For each, we checked whether a named senior editor or programme boss there was reported leaving within 90 days. We found six, shown newest first.
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