Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market16 Oct 2026

Will the CMA give Microsoft strategic market status by 13 Feb 2027?

BinaryResolves 13 Feb 2027
History100%
Hunch95%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolves 13 Feb 2027
Why these numbers

Hunch. The CMA has already found Microsoft strong in all five areas and must decide by law by 13 February, so only new evidence from the consultation can stop it.

How this resolves

The status market resolves on the CMA's case page and press releases on GOV.UK: YES if by the end of 13 February 2027 the CMA publishes a final decision that Microsoft has strategic market status in at least one area of its business software, and NO if the decision gives no status or no decision is published by then. Reports in BBC News and The Guardian settle it if the GOV.UK pages cannot be read.

The pattern behind it

8 of 8
Eight firm/activity status outcomes across seven decision groups were positive. The two UK mobile rows share one decision; legal-deadline compliance is a separate outcome.

Eight firm/activity status outcomes across seven decision groups were positive. The two UK mobile rows share one decision; legal-deadline compliance is a separate outcome.