Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market10 Oct 2026

Will the White House hearing on Lisa Cook take place on 5 Nov?

BinaryResolves 5 Nov 2026
Hunch78%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolves 5 Nov 2026
Why these numbers

Hunch. Trump's own order of 7 October fixes the hearing for 5 November, the step the Supreme Court said was missing in June.

How this resolves

The hearing market resolves on whitehouse.gov, from a White House statement or the hearing transcript, with The Guardian and Al Jazeera as backup. YES if the committee holds its hearing with Lisa Cook at the White House on 5 November 2026, and NO if it is postponed, cancelled or stopped by a court.

The pattern behind it

3 of 5
Three of five times a president's firing of a protected board member stood after the last court step, and twice the Supreme Court ruled it unlawful. The final steps took 308 to 597 days.

We looked for cases where a US president fired a member of a federal board whose law allowed removal only for a named reason, such as neglect of duty, and the member went to court. We found five such fights since 1933, four of them under Donald Trump. Before Cook, no president had tried to fire a Fed governor.