Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market10 Oct 2026

Will Lisa Cook vote at the Fed's 8-9 December rate meeting?

BinaryResolves 9 Dec 2026
Hunch80%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolves 9 Dec 2026
Why these numbers

Hunch. The Supreme Court ruled in June that a Fed governor can be removed only for cause after a fair process, and Cook denies the claims.

How this resolves

The vote market resolves on the Federal Reserve's rate statement of 9 December 2026 on federalreserve.gov, with The Guardian and BBC News as backup. YES if Lisa Cook is named in the voting lines, for or against, and NO if her name is not there.

The pattern behind it

3 of 5
Three of five times a president's firing of a protected board member stood after the last court step, and twice the Supreme Court ruled it unlawful. The final steps took 308 to 597 days.

We looked for cases where a US president fired a member of a federal board whose law allowed removal only for a named reason, such as neglect of duty, and the member went to court. We found five such fights since 1933, four of them under Donald Trump. Before Cook, no president had tried to fire a Fed governor.