Hunch. Jakub Seidler said on 27 October he leans to a hike, but he added he had not yet seen the staff analysis that comes before the vote.
The vote for a rise market resolves on the vote split in the same statement: YES if at least one member voted for a higher rate, even if the board keeps the rate, and NO if no member did. If that page does not open, Reuters and Financial Times reports settle it together.
We looked for cases where a voting member of the Czech central bank’s board said in public, between two meetings, that he would back a rate change at the next one. We found eight such times from 2022 to 2023, before six meetings. All eight times the member backed a rise.