Hunch. Seidler said on 27 October he expects inflation near 3.5% in early 2027, above the bank's band, which keeps a December rise in play even after November.
The December market resolves on the Czech National Bank statement of 17 December 2026: YES if it sets the two-week repo rate higher than it was just before that meeting, and NO if it stays the same or goes lower. If that page does not open, Reuters and Financial Times reports settle it together.
We looked for cases where a voting member of the Czech central bank’s board said in public, between two meetings, that he would back a rate change at the next one. We found eight such times from 2022 to 2023, before six meetings. All eight times the member backed a rise.