Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market06 Jul 2026

Will England reach the 2026 World Cup final?

BinaryResolves 15 Jul 2026
Hunch29%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: NO

England lost the semi-final 2-1 to Argentina in Atlanta, then beat France 6-4 in the third-place match on 18 July.

Resolved 15 Jul 2026
How this resolves

The market resolves on FIFA official match records for the quarter-final on 11 July and the semi-finals, which conclude on 15 July. It resolves YES if England are named in the final. If that source has not published in time, Sky Sports and ESPN settle it.

The pattern behind it

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England have won one of their last five World Cup quarter-finals inside ninety minutes: Sweden in 2018. The other win, Cameroon in 1990, needed extra time and two Lineker penalties; Portugal in 2006 finished goalless and went to a shootout; France in 2022 and Brazil in 2002 were lost in normal time. That is the full record since 1990 — two wins in five, one of them inside the ninety.

Since 1990 England have played five World Cup quarter-finals. They won two. Only the 2018 game against Sweden was won inside ninety minutes. The 1990 win over Cameroon needed extra time and two Gary Lineker penalties, and the other three ended in defeat, one of them on penalties.