How many of their remaining two July Tests do England win?
Multiple choiceResolves 18 Jul 2026
Hunch
Both (Fiji and Argentina)33%
One of two45%
Neither22%
Your forecast
Both (Fiji and Argentina)
One of two
Neither
Resolved
Resolved: Both (Fiji and Argentina)
England beat Fiji 73-8 in Liverpool on 11 July and Argentina 31-24 in Santiago del Estero on 18 July, per the Nations Championship and World Rugby match records.
Resolved 18 Jul 2026
How this resolves
The market resolves on the same Nations Championship and World Rugby records for the Fiji match on 11 July and the Argentina match in Santiago del Estero on 18 July. Victories count only, a draw counting as a non-win; a postponed fixture is treated as not won. If that source has not published in time, Sky Sports and ESPN settle it.
The pattern behind it
4 of 5
England won four of the five most recent meetings with Fiji, and eight of nine across the fixture's history. The defeat is the recent one, though: August 2023, at home, and Fiji now arrive in Liverpool against a side that has just conceded 45 points and finished a Test with thirteen men. The base rate favours England; the trajectory does not.
England have beaten Fiji in eight of nine games since 1988. The five most recent are below. The one defeat is also the most recent game played in England: a warm-up match at Twickenham in August 2023.
Some cookies are essential for Hunch to work properly. Others are optional—you decide whether to allow them. We don’t sell your personal data. Learn more and change your choices at any time in Cookie settings.