Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market14 Oct 2026

Will the England v Australia one-day series be decided on 15 Nov?

BinaryResolves 15 Nov 2026
History71%
Hunch64%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolves 15 Nov 2026
Why these numbers

Hunch. England won a one-day series against Sri Lanka on 27 September, their sixth series win in short-format cricket this year.

How this resolves

The early finish market resolves on the ECB results page after the second game in Adelaide on 15 November: YES if one team has won both of the first two games, NO if it is 1-1 or one of those games had no result or was moved. BBC Sport and The Guardian are the backups.

The pattern behind it

5 of 7
Five of seven times a visiting team began its season in Australia with a short one-day series, Australia won more games. South Africa in 2018 and Pakistan in 2024 won, both in the last game.

We looked for cases where a visiting team began its season in Australia with a short one-day series of two to five games, from 2006 to 2026. We found seven such series, and Australia won five. England's four one-day series in Australia since 2011 are not among them: three came after Test series on the same tour, and in 2022 England rested four players.