Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market09 Oct 2026

Will Donald Trump campaign with Byron Donalds in Florida by 2 Nov?

BinaryResolves 3 Nov 2026
Hunch45%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: YES

Donald Trump spoke in person at a rally at the Ocean Center in Daytona Beach, Florida on 30 October 2026 (The Guardian), and Byron Donalds also spoke there, as Spectrum News 13 quotes his speech and Central Florida Public Media lists him among the speakers (both off-list).

Resolved 30 Oct 2026
Why these numbers

History. No count from the cases: the cases do not say whether a president appeared with the candidate. This question comes from the motives of Donalds and Trump. The checker compares Hunch with the page base of 2 of 4.

Hunch. In the speech the BBC heard, Donalds did not mention Trump, though Trump has defended him in public.

How this resolves

The campaign event market resolves YES if Donald Trump speaks in person at a rally or campaign event in Florida where Byron Donalds also speaks, from 8 October to the end of 2 November 2026, according to the White House schedule, Trump's own posts, or BBC News and Guardian reports. Video messages and online posts do not count.

The pattern behind it

2 of 4
In two of four such races the president's party kept the office: Arkansas in 1978 and Hawaii in 2022. It lost Texas and South Dakota in 1978.

We looked for cases where the president's party had won at least three governor elections in a row in a US state, the governor was not on the ballot in a midterm, the president's party also ran Congress, and pay was rising more slowly than prices. We found five since 1966 and could check four: three on one day in 1978 and one in 2022.