History. Of five past waves of riots that reached a third day without a state of emergency, as France has now, one ended in one: 2005, on day 12. In all eight waves since 1985 it came four times.
Hunch. Lecornu said on 20 October the local curfews brought a quiet night, and he left new ones to local officials.
The emergency market resolves on the Journal officiel on Légifrance: YES if by the end of 6 November 2026, Paris time, the Council of Ministers declares by decree a state of emergency under the law of 3 April 1955 over all or part of mainland France because of the riots, and NO if there is no such decree. Local curfews or bans on gatherings without a decree count as NO, and BBC News and The Guardian settle it if the official page cannot be read.
We looked for cases where riots hit France or one of its overseas territories under the 1955 law on states of emergency, and officials used local curfews or spoke of an emergency. We found eight such waves of riots since 1985. Five were in overseas territories, and five came while Emmanuel Macron was president.