Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market31 Aug 2026

Is the 2026 figure higher than 2025's 2,604,404 tickets?

BinaryResolves 31 Aug 2026
Hunch42%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: YES

2,805,395 tickets against 2,604,404, which the Society described as an 8 per cent increase on 2025 (Edinburgh Festival Fringe Society, 31 Aug 2026; BBC News, 31 Aug 2026).

Resolved 31 Aug 2026
How this resolves

The market resolves on the same first-published figure compared with 2,604,404; YES if higher. If that source has not published in time, BBC News and The Guardian settle it.

The pattern behind it

5 of 8
Five of the last eight Fringes cleared 2.5 million tickets: 2017 (2,696,884), 2018 (over 2.8 million), 2019 (3,012,490), 2024 (2.6 million) and 2025 (2,604,404). The three that did not were 2016 (2,475,143), 2022 (2,201,175) and 2023 (2,445,609). Over the ten festivals since 2015 it is five of ten. The recent clustering matters more than the fraction: the last two festivals finished within a few thousand tickets of each other, which is what a market looks like when capacity rather than demand is the binding constraint.

Five of the ten Fringes since 2015 passed 2.5 million tickets. We used every festival for which the Fringe Society published a ticket total at the close. The 2020 festival was cancelled and 2021 was a smaller, part-online event, so neither is counted. The last eight are shown below.