How many tickets does the Fringe Society report for 2026?

Multiple choiceResolves 31 Aug 2026

Hunch

2.50m to 2.649m41%

2.40m to 2.499m24%

2.65m or more20%

Under 2.40m15%

Your forecast

2.50m to 2.649m
2.40m to 2.499m
2.65m or more
Under 2.40m

Resolved

Resolved: 2.65m or more

The Society reported 2,805,395 tickets issued (Edinburgh Festival Fringe Society, 31 Aug 2026; BBC News, 31 Aug 2026).

Resolved 31 Aug 2026

How this resolves

The market resolves on the same first-published figure placed in one of the four bands. If that source has not published in time, BBC News and The Guardian settle it.

The pattern behind it

5 of 8

Five of the last eight Fringes cleared 2.5 million tickets: 2017 (2,696,884), 2018 (over 2.8 million), 2019 (3,012,490), 2024 (2.6 million) and 2025 (2,604,404). The three that did not were 2016 (2,475,143), 2022 (2,201,175) and 2023 (2,445,609). Over the ten festivals since 2015 it is five of ten. The recent clustering matters more than the fraction: the last two festivals finished within a few thousand tickets of each other, which is what a market looks like when capacity rather than demand is the binding constraint.

Five of the ten Fringes since 2015 passed 2.5 million tickets. We used every festival for which the Fringe Society published a ticket total at the close. The 2020 festival was cancelled and 2021 was a smaller, part-online event, so neither is counted. The last eight are shown below.

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How many tickets does the Fringe Society report for 2026?

The pattern behind it

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