The Georgia Secretary of State's unofficial results, with all 159 counties reporting on 4 November 2026, give Jon Ossoff 59.02% to Mike Collins's 40.98% in the 3 November Senate race, far above 50%, so there is no runoff; BBC News reports Ossoff won a second term.
History. In all five Georgia Senate races from 1974 to 2010 where the sitting senator was from the party out of power and it was not a presidential year, one candidate won more than half on election day and there was no runoff (1974, 1990, 1998, 2002, 2010).
Hunch. On 9 October the Guardian wrote that Mike Collins is trying to cut into Jon Ossoff's lead, so the race may be closer.
The no-runoff market resolves on the official results of the Georgia Secretary of State for the Senate race of 3 November 2026: YES if one candidate wins more than 50% and no runoff is needed, NO if the state sets a runoff. If the leader is within 0.5 points of 50% it waits for the results certified by the state, and The Guardian and BBC News settle it if the state page does not open.
We looked for cases where a sitting Georgia senator ran again while his party did not hold the presidency, in a year with no presidential election. We found five such races from 1974 to 2010 in the official results. Each time one candidate won more than half the votes on election day, and there was no runoff.