Tue, 19 May 2026
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Market03 Jul 2026

Will Germany reach the 2026 World Cup quarter-finals?

BinaryResolves 29 Jun 2026
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: NO

Paraguay won the round-of-32 shootout 4-3 after a 1-1 draw in Boston.

Resolved 29 Jun 2026
How this resolves

Match and coaching-status outcomes verified against FIFA.com records and DFB statements.

The pattern behind it

3 of 4
Three of the last four Germany head-coach successions were confirmed within six weeks of the vacancy opening. The split is honest: when the exit is a crisis rather than a plan, the DFB moves fast.

Three of the last four new coaches came within six weeks. We looked at the last four times Germany changed head coach and at how long the DFB took to confirm the next one. The slow case was 2021, when the change from Joachim Löw to Hansi Flick was planned in advance and took about eleven weeks.