Mbappé finished on ten goals after scoring twice in the third-place match on 18 July, two clear of Messi, who was held scoreless in the final, per FIFA's official award record.
Resolved 19 Jul 2026
How this resolves
The market resolves on the official adidas Golden Boot award published on FIFA.com after the final on 19 July 2026, including FIFA's tiebreakers of assists and then fewer minutes played. If that source has not published in time, BBC Sport and Sky Sports settle it.
The pattern behind it
2 of 6
Two of the last six Golden Boot winners played in the World Cup final, and six is the full record from 2002 to 2022: Ronaldo in 2002 and Mbappé in 2022, both of whom scored on the last day. Klose, Müller, Rodríguez and Kane all took the award from a team that had already gone out or dropped into the third-place match, and three of them added nothing after the quarter-finals. Six cases is the full record and at the floor Hunch requires to show History.
Only two of the last six winners played in the final. We looked at the World Cups from 2002 to 2022 and asked where the Golden Boot winner was on the last day. The others won the prize while their team was already out or playing for third place.
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