Will Harry Kane score in the England v Argentina semi-final on 15 July 2026?
BinaryResolves 15 Jul 2026
Hunch42%
Your forecast
Yes
No
Resolved
Resolved: NO
Kane did not score: England's goal in the 2-1 defeat came from Gordon on 55 minutes, per the FIFA match centre, leaving Kane two behind the leaders with one match to play.
Resolved 15 Jul 2026
How this resolves
The market resolves on the official FIFA scorer record for the Atlanta semi-final on 15 July 2026. Goals in 90 minutes or extra time count; shoot-out kicks do not. If that source has not published in time, ESPN and Sky Sports settle it.
The pattern behind it
2 of 6
Two of the last six Golden Boot winners played in the World Cup final, and six is the full record from 2002 to 2022: Ronaldo in 2002 and Mbappé in 2022, both of whom scored on the last day. Klose, Müller, Rodríguez and Kane all took the award from a team that had already gone out or dropped into the third-place match, and three of them added nothing after the quarter-finals. Six cases is the full record and at the floor Hunch requires to show History.
Only two of the last six winners played in the final. We looked at the World Cups from 2002 to 2022 and asked where the Golden Boot winner was on the last day. The others won the prize while their team was already out or playing for third place.
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