Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market29 Oct 2026

Will Kane attend the BBC Sports Personality show in person?

BinaryResolves 31 Dec 2026
Hunch60%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolves 31 Dec 2026
Why these numbers

Hunch. Kane came to London in person for the Ballon d'Or on 26 October and said that winning it there made it 'extra special'.

How this resolves

The attendance market resolves on the same BBC Sport report: YES if it says Kane was at the show in person, NO if he took part by video link, by recording or not at all, and void if he is not on the final list. If the BBC page does not open, Guardian and Sky Sports reports of the same night settle it together.

The pattern behind it

2 of 4
Two of four British stars who had won the top world prize of their sport that year won the BBC vote, and the other two finished outside the top three.

We looked for cases where a British sports star won the top world prize of their sport and stood in the BBC vote of the same year. We counted from 2006, when a panel began to pick the final list, and used six world prizes, from football’s Ballon d’Or to cycling’s Vélo d’Or. We found four such years, from 2012 to 2017. Chris Froome, a cyclist, stood in two of them.