Will Kerr win the mile at the London Athletics Meet?
BinaryResolves 18 Jul 2026
Hunch62%
Your forecast
Yes
No
Resolved
Resolved: YES
Kerr won in 3:42.66, roughly three seconds clear of Yared Nuguse.
Resolved 18 Jul 2026
How this resolves
The race-win market resolves on the official Diamond League finish order for the mile.
The pattern behind it
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None of the 2 serious attempts on the men's mile world record since Rome 1999 broke it: Ingebrigtsen ran 3:43.73 in 2023 and Kerr 3:45.34 in 2024. The record has stood for 27 years, but that is 27 years and not 27 attempts. Kerr needs to find 2.21 seconds on his lifetime best.
No one has beaten the mile record since Rome in 1999. The men's mile world record fell again and again in the years of Sebastian Coe, Steve Ovett and Steve Cram, then stopped moving. Every generation since has tried, including planned attempts with pacers and new kit by the best 1500m runners of their time.
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