Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market06 Oct 2026

Will Loganair make a new pay offer before the vote closes on 27 Oct?

BinaryResolves 27 Oct 2026
History0%
Hunch12%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: YES

Unite told STV News on 27 October 2026 that Loganair had made a new, improved pay offer, which cabin crew are being balloted on.

Resolved 27 Oct 2026
Why these numbers

History. 0 of 8. Better offers, where they came, came after the result.

Hunch. Loganair says it hopes Unite will come back to talks, which leaves room for a new offer before 27 October.

How this resolves

The new offer market resolves on statements from Loganair or Unite, confirmed by BBC News or Sky News: YES if between 6 and 27 October Loganair makes a pay offer that the reports describe as new or improved, and NO if not. The late September offer does not count.

The pattern behind it

8 of 8
All eight strike votes at UK airlines, airports and ground handlers that BBC News reported since 2018 backed a strike. No employer made a new offer before a vote closed.

We looked for cases where a union ran a formal strike vote at a UK airline, helicopter firm, airport or ground handler after workers turned down a pay offer, and one side spoke about the company's money. We found eight such votes from 2018 to 2025 in BBC News reports. All eight backed a strike, and in none did the employer make a new offer before the vote closed.