Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market06 Oct 2026

Will Loganair cabin crew go on strike by 30 November 2026?

BinaryResolves 30 Nov 2026
History43%
Hunch36%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolves 30 Nov 2026
Why these numbers

History. 3 of 7: strikes 14, 26 and 34 days after the result. Liverpool 2018 left out, the reports do not say what happened next.

Hunch. Loganair has asked Unite back to talks, and in three of the eight disputes a deal or a better offer came before any strike.

How this resolves

The walkout market resolves on statements from Unite or Loganair, confirmed by BBC News or Sky News: YES if Loganair cabin crew walk out on at least one day by the end of 30 November, NO if there is no walkout, including when the vote fails or a deal is reached.

The pattern behind it

8 of 8
All eight strike votes at UK airlines, airports and ground handlers that BBC News reported since 2018 backed a strike. No employer made a new offer before a vote closed.

We looked for cases where a union ran a formal strike vote at a UK airline, helicopter firm, airport or ground handler after workers turned down a pay offer, and one side spoke about the company's money. We found eight such votes from 2018 to 2025 in BBC News reports. All eight backed a strike, and in none did the employer make a new offer before the vote closed.