Will England take a first-innings lead at Lord's by 31 Aug 2026?
BinaryResolves 31 Aug 2026
Hunch74%
Your forecast
Yes
No
Resolved
Resolved: YES
England made 290 in their first innings against Pakistan's 110, a first-innings lead of 180 (ESPNcricinfo full scorecard).
Resolved 30 Aug 2026
How this resolves
Resolves YES if England's completed first-innings total exceeds Pakistan's completed first-innings total on the same official scorecard. If either first innings is not completed by the end of the match, the market resolves NO. If that source has not published in time, ecb.co.uk and BBC Sport settle it.
The pattern behind it
5 of 9
Since 1982 the sides have played nine Tests at Lord's: Pakistan have won five, England two and two were drawn. That is a higher win rate for the touring side than at any comparable English venue, and only two matches in more than forty years have ended without a result. The caveat is that England's two wins were both by an innings, so when the hosts have been on top at Lord's they have been overwhelmingly on top.
Pakistan have won five of the nine Tests at Lord's since 1982. Lord's is meant to be hard for visiting teams, but against Pakistan it has been the opposite. The wins came across very different eras, with different players, pitches and balls.
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