Does McLaren publish its own statement on the £450m by 9 Oct?
BinaryResolves 9 Oct 2026
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Your forecast
Yes
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Resolved
Resolved: YES
On 16 September 2026 McLaren put its UK investment on the record: chief executive Nick Collins is quoted in the government release, reported by BBC News and The Guardian. The figure given is about £500m, the same investment first reported at £450m.
Resolved 16 Sep 2026
How this resolves
The company market resolves YES if McLaren publishes its own statement confirming the investment on its corporate site on or before 9 October, or if two whitelisted outlets report an on-the-record McLaren statement giving the £450m figure. The Financial Times report of 9 September, which came before any company publication, does not count.
The pattern behind it
6 of 8
Six of the last eight comparable pledges drew a public government mark within 30 days, and every one of those six arrived on the day of the announcement rather than later. The two that drew nothing were Rolls-Royce's £300m at Goodwood in January 2025 and Jaguar Land Rover's £15bn plan in April 2023, both funded by foreign parents with no UK public money attached. On the full record of eleven since July 2021, nine were marked; the three older additions were Britishvolt's Blyth gigaplant and Bentley's £2.5bn at Crewe in January 2022 and Stellantis's £100m at Ellesmere Port in July 2021, each welcomed by a business secretary on the day. What the marks did not buy was delivery: Britishvolt collapsed into administration within a year, Stellantis closed its Luton van plant in 2024, Tata's Somerset gigafactory waited until April 2026 for its £380m grant and remains a steel frame, Bentley cut 275 jobs in March 2026, and JLR is now cutting 4,000.
Every government welcome we found came on the day itself. We looked at each UK car or battery plant investment of £100m or more that a company announced since July 2021. For each we asked whether a named minister or a government department welcomed it in public within 30 days, through a gov.uk press release, a visit or a named statement. The page shows the latest eight, newest first.
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