Do the Seahawks win at least three of their first four games by 4 October?
BinaryResolves 5 Oct 2026
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Your forecast
Yes
No
Resolved
Resolved: YES
Seattle are 3-1 after four games, beating New England, Arizona and the Chargers (30-23 on 4 October 2026) and losing 33-31 at Washington, as shown in the NFL.com standings and ESPN's schedule.
Resolved 5 Oct 2026
How this resolves
The market resolves on the official standings on nfl.com after the Week 4 games of 4 October, published that night. It resolves YES if Seattle's record shows three or more wins after four games; a tie counts as not a win. If that source has not published in time, ESPN and BBC Sport standings settle it.
The pattern behind it
5 of 8
Five of the last eight kickoff games in which the defending champion played were won by the champion: the Eagles in 2018 and 2025, the Chiefs in 2020 and 2024, the Buccaneers in 2021. The three defeats were the Patriots in 2017, the Rams in 2022 and the Chiefs in 2023. In the full record since 2004 the champion has won 16 of 21; the other two defeats were the Giants in 2012 and the Ravens in 2013, the only champion to open away. The 2019 opener had no champion in it.
We looked at every NFL season opener since 2004 in which the defending champion played, using the league's own records. The champion won 16 of the 21 games. The last eight are shown below, newest first.
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