History. 6 of 8, all from 2024-25. No leader in these groups had to play the second team away in the last game.
Hunch. Northern Ireland finish away to Hungary, one point behind them, and no leader in the past groups here had to do that. Editorial scoring note: Six of the eight group leaders with two games remaining finished first; Greece and Turkey did not. Separately, first place remained undecided after the penultimate scheduled matchday in six of eight groups. Sweden and North Macedonia were the exceptions. Romania's abandoned match was awarded on 20 November 2024, after the final scheduled matchday; that decision is not backdated for this timing count.
The group market resolves on UEFA's final group B2 table after the last games on 17 November: YES if Northern Ireland finish first under UEFA rules, NO for any other place. BBC Sport and Sky Sports are the backup.
Six of eight group leaders with two games remaining finished first. Separately, first place remained undecided after the penultimate scheduled matchday in six of eight groups. Sweden and North Macedonia were the exceptions. Romania's abandoned match was awarded on 20 November 2024, after the final scheduled matchday; that decision is not backdated for this timing count.