Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market06 Oct 2026

Will first place in group B2 go to the last game on 17 November?

BinaryResolves 14 Nov 2026
History75%
Hunch70%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolves 14 Nov 2026
Why these numbers

History. Separately, first place remained undecided after the penultimate scheduled matchday in six of eight groups. Sweden and North Macedonia were the exceptions. Romania's abandoned match was awarded on 20 November 2024, after the final scheduled matchday; that decision is not backdated for this timing count.

Hunch. Northern Ireland already beat bottom side Ukraine 3-0, and a home win with a Hungary slip against Georgia would settle it early. Editorial scoring note: Six of the eight group leaders with two games remaining finished first; Greece and Turkey did not. Separately, first place remained undecided after the penultimate scheduled matchday in six of eight groups. Sweden and North Macedonia were the exceptions. Romania's abandoned match was awarded on 20 November 2024, after the final scheduled matchday; that decision is not backdated for this timing count.

How this resolves

The last-game market resolves on UEFA's group B2 results and table after both games on 14 November: YES if no team is yet sure of first place under UEFA rules, NO if one team is already sure of it. BBC Sport and Sky Sports are the backup.

The pattern behind it

6 of 8
Six of eight teams that led a League B or League C group with two games left in 2024 finished first. Greece and Turkey were the two that did not. Editorial scoring note: Six of the eight group leaders with two games remaining finished first; Greece and Turkey did not. Separately, first place remained undecided after the penultimate scheduled matchday in six of eight groups. Sweden and North Macedonia were the exceptions. Romania's abandoned match was awarded on 20 November 2024, after the final scheduled matchday; that decision is not backdated for this timing count.

Six of eight group leaders with two games remaining finished first. Separately, first place remained undecided after the penultimate scheduled matchday in six of eight groups. Sweden and North Macedonia were the exceptions. Romania's abandoned match was awarded on 20 November 2024, after the final scheduled matchday; that decision is not backdated for this timing count.