The Nobel Prize press release of 12 Oct 2026 lists both winners only with US institutions, Robert E. Hall at Stanford University and Michael Woodford at Columbia University, as the Guardian also reported the same day.
History. 9 of 10: every year from 2016 to 2024; not 2025, when Philippe Aghion of France and Britain shared the prize.
Hunch. The most recent prize, in October 2025, broke a nine-year run by giving a share to a winner based in France and Britain.
The US market resolves on the Nobel Prize press release of 12 October 2026: YES if every winner is listed only with institutions in the US, and NO if any winner has one outside the US. BBC News and The Guardian reports settle it if the Nobel site is down.
We looked for cases where the Academy named the economics winners a few days after the physics and chemistry prizes, as it does this year. We took the last ten such years, 2016 to 2025. Each year the economics prize came five days after chemistry.