Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market10 Oct 2026

Will the government publish its non-compete plan by 28 Oct?

BinaryResolves 28 Oct 2026
Hunch62%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: NO

The Budget 2026 document of 28 October 2026 says the government will legislate on non-compete clauses but will set out a detailed position in early 2027, so it did not say which option it chose.

Resolved 28 Oct 2026
Why these numbers

Hunch. Andy Burnham said the government will press ahead with new legislation, and the BBC expects details with the Budget.

How this resolves

The publication market resolves on GOV.UK: YES if by the end of 28 October 2026 the government says which option it chose, and NO if not. BBC News and The Guardian are the backup.

The pattern behind it

4 of 6
Four of six times a government or lawmaker limited non-compete clauses with a pay level or time limit; twice it banned them outright.

We looked for cases where a government, parliament or regulator decided how far to limit non-compete clauses for workers. We found six from 2019 to 2024: the UK, the US Federal Trade Commission, three US states and Washington DC.