Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market10 Oct 2026

Will the non-compete plan include a minimum salary level?

BinaryResolves 28 Oct 2026
History50%
Hunch55%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Void

Void under the market rule: the Budget of 28 October 2026 did not publish a chosen option for non-compete clauses, so there is no salary level to judge, the Budget 2026 document on GOV.UK shows.

Resolves 28 Oct 2026
Why these numbers

History. 3 of 6: three lawmakers set a pay level below which the clauses do not apply.

Hunch. The competition regulator backed a salary level, the option most US states chose.

How this resolves

The salary market resolves on the same GOV.UK papers: YES if the chosen option includes a salary level below which the clauses do not apply, and NO if not. If no choice is published by the end of 28 October, it is VOID.

The pattern behind it

4 of 6
Four of six times a government or lawmaker limited non-compete clauses with a pay level or time limit; twice it banned them outright.

We looked for cases where a government, parliament or regulator decided how far to limit non-compete clauses for workers. We found six from 2019 to 2024: the UK, the US Federal Trade Commission, three US states and Washington DC.