Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market14 Jul 2026

Does Noskova reach the semi-finals in Washington?

BinaryResolves 1 Aug 2026
Hunch32%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: NO

With Noskova absent from the WTA main draw in Washington, the semi-finals were reached by other players and Alexandra Eala beat Jessica Pegula in the final.

Resolved 27 Jul 2026
How this resolves

The semi-final market resolves YES only if the same official WTA draw shows Noskova in the last four in Washington by 23:59 ET on 1 August 2026.

The pattern behind it

3 of 6
Three of the last six first-time women's major champions won their opening match at their next tour event. One of the three failures never made it onto court at all.

We looked at the last six women who won their first Grand Slam title, and at their first match at their next event. Three won it and three did not. One of the three who did not win never got on court at all.