Hunch. On 23 September the US and China agreed to keep their trade truce until 10 January, and in more than a year of that truce the US has not added a single new firm to the Entity List.
The Megaspeed market resolves YES if a Commerce Department document published in the Federal Register from 31 October to 19 November 2026 adds Megaspeed, under any country, to the Entity List, and NO if there is none. A document that is only on public inspection by 19 November counts as NO, and The Guardian and BBC News settle it if the Federal Register cannot be opened.
We looked for cases where US officials or the news publicly accused a foreign firm of helping American technology reach China against US export rules. Then we checked whether the US added that firm to its blacklist, and how fast. We found six such firms since 2022, and Megaspeed is one of them.