Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market23 Oct 2026

Will ministers agree to rethink the pace of the Mounjaro rollout?

BinaryResolves 18 Jan 2027
History50%
Hunch32%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolves 18 Jan 2027
Why these numbers

History. In five of the ten latest reports by such committees, the government fully agreed to the first demand, all five from the Public Accounts Committee.

Hunch. The government has pointed to a NICE review, due by December 2027, as the place to decide whether the rollout can go faster.

How this resolves

Resolves YES if a government reply published by 18 January 2027 says it accepts or agrees with recommendation 45, to urgently reassess the pace of the Mounjaro rollout, including 'in principle'. A partial acceptance, a note, a wait for the NICE review or no reply by 18 January is NO, with GOV.UK and Parliament as sources and BBC News and The Guardian as backups.

The pattern behind it

3 of 10
In three of the ten latest reports by such committees, ministers replied by the deadline. Four replies came late, two have not come, and one has no exact date.

We looked for cases where a committee of MPs, chaired by an opposition MP but with most members from the governing party, sent the government a report with demands that needed a written reply. We took the ten latest such reports, from June and July 2026. Five came from the Public Accounts Committee, which checks how public money is spent.