History. No count: the past changes of power do not record when the former leader was first named a suspect.
Hunch. By 10 November, six months after the anti-corruption office was set up, no investigator had named Viktor Orbán a suspect in any criminal investigation.
The suspect market resolves on official statements of the Hungarian police, the anti-corruption office or the prosecution service: YES if by 23:59 Budapest time on 31 December 2026 any of them formally tells Viktor Orbán he is a suspect in a criminal case, or The Guardian and Telex report this citing the authorities or his lawyers, and NO if there is only a complaint to police, questioning as a witness or politicians' words. The Guardian and Telex confirm it, and two reports from these and Al Jazeera decide if the official pages cannot be opened.
We looked for cases where a new government took power through an election or a vote in parliament, and then police or a court detained someone close to the former leader: a minister, deputy minister, head of a state office, close adviser or relative. We found ten such changes of power, from Taiwan in 2008 to Poland in 2024, and one of them was in Hungary in 2011. (Index; The Guardian; The Guardian; The Guardian)