Pogacar led by 3min 50sec when he broke his collarbone in a crash on stage eight on 29 August and abandoned, his first failure to finish a grand tour; Enric Mas inherited the red jersey, as reported by The Guardian, BBC Sport, Reuters and The Independent.
The overall market resolves YES if the official final general classification published on lavuelta.es shows Pogacar as winner of the 81st Vuelta a España after the final stage in Granada, by 23:59 CEST on 13 September 2026. Abandonment or disqualification before the finish resolves NO.
Since 1995 only one Tour winner has also won the Vuelta that year. That was when the Vuelta moved from spring to the end of the season, and the calendar has decided how hard the double is ever since. Three riders have ever won both races in the same year. Below are all three, plus the two Tour winners since 1995 who tried and fell short.