Pogacar won stage 19 to Alpe d'Huez on 24 July, climbing in a record 35:27; Richard Carapaz took the second Alpe d'Huez stage on 25 July.
The Alpe d'Huez market resolves YES if letour.fr records Pogacar as the winner of either the stage finishing at Alpe d'Huez on 24 July or the stage finishing there on 25 July.
Half of the last ten first-rest-day leaders won the Tour. Leading at that point sounds decisive, and in recent years it has been closer to a coin toss. Those who lost the lead include Pogacar himself. Below are six of those Tours. The rest of the record adds Chris Froome's wins in 2016 and 2017 and Pogacar's win in 2021.