By 27 September 2026 seven people had been publicly reported charged over the Portsmouth protests of 6 and 12 September (Somerville, Dixon, Ryan, Pinnock and Wylie for violent disorder, plus Miller and McNally), short of ten, per the CPS and BBC reporting.
(adjacent). The market resolves on Hampshire and Isle of Wight Constabulary or Crown Prosecution Service statements: YES if the number of people charged with offences arising from the Portsmouth protests of 6 and 12 September 2026 reaches ten by 23:59 BST on 27 September, counting from the baseline of three charged on 13 September (Somerville, Miller and McNally, BBC 13 Sep); arrests, interviews and bail without charge do not count. If the force and CPS have not published, BBC News and the Guardian settle it, and silence resolves NO.
We looked for anti-immigration protests in Britain since 2023 where the same town saw protests on two weekends in a row, and the first weekend had arrests or disorder reported by police. Then we checked news reports of the weekend after, looking for a protest in the same place with arrests or disorder. We found three such cases, one fewer than the four our method asks for, so the record is thin.