Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market13 Sep 2026

Does the HCLG Committee announce a session on the target by 14 Oct?

BinaryResolves 14 Oct 2026
Hunch20%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: NO

The Parliament committees data shows no new HCLG Committee inquiry since July and only high streets (13 October) and elections (20 October) evidence sessions from 13 September to 14 October 2026, none with the housing secretary on the 1.5 million homes target; the committee website blocks scripts, and the Guardian's 9 October report on the chair names no session.

Resolved 14 Oct 2026
How this resolves

(adjacent). The market resolves on committees.parliament.uk, which posts inquiry launches and evidence sessions for the Housing, Communities and Local Government Committee, and on parliament.uk news: YES if an item dated 13 September to 14 October 2026 announces an inquiry, a one-off session or an evidence session with the housing secretary or a housing minister that names the 1.5 million homes target or housing supply, while sessions on high streets, elections or leasehold do not count; the committee site blocks automated fetches, so the check is done by hand. If neither page carries it, Hansard committee records and the BBC settle it, and silence by 23:59 BST on 14 October resolves NO.

The pattern behind it

4 of 8
Four of the last eight admissions drew a formal revision within 60 days: Rwanda flights 2024, housing targets 2022, exit day 2019 and migration 2018. Hospitals 2024, waiting lists 2024, the surplus 2016 and migration 2014 did not.

Four of eight ministers who admitted a miss saw the target changed. We looked for UK ministers since 2014 who said in public, before the deadline, that a main government target would probably be missed or had already been missed. We found eight. In four of them, a published document or Commons statement changed, redefined or dropped the target within 60 days.