Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market18 Jul 2026

Where will Rogers stand on 2 Aug 2026?

Multiple choiceResolves 2 Aug 2026
Hunch
Villa player, no agreed deal46%
Announced by Arsenal30%
Fee agreed, not yet announced16%
Deal collapsed / joins another club8%
Your forecast
  • Villa player, no agreed deal
  • Announced by Arsenal
  • Fee agreed, not yet announced
  • Deal collapsed / joins another club
Resolved
Resolved: Deal collapsed / joins another club

Rogers was a Chelsea player: the club completed the British-record 117m pound signing on 22 July, per Sky Sports.

Resolved 22 Jul 2026
How this resolves

resolves on the same official-announcement standard; 'fee agreed' requires on-record confirmation from either club or agreement reported by at least two of the named outlets, read at 23:59 BST on 2 Aug 2026.

The pattern behind it

2 of 6
Two of the last six £100m-plus transfer sagas involving Premier League buyers were completed before 1 August. Three ran into August or September and one, Kane to Manchester City, never happened.

Only two of the six £100m-plus deals were done before August. We looked at every transfer of £100m or more with a Premier League club buying, and Rogers would be the seventh. The earlier six show how rarely these long transfer stories finish in July, and how often they run deep into August or fall apart.