Tue, 19 May 2026
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Market14 May 2026

Will the Mnuchin Rothko beat its $70m low estimate?

BinaryResolves 14 May 2026
History3 of 5
Your forecast
  • Yes
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Resolved
Resolved: YES

Brown and Blacks in Reds made $85.8m with fees, the second-highest Rothko price at auction.

Resolved 14 May 2026
How this resolves

The Rothko market resolves on the price with fees published in Sotheby's official results for Brown and Blacks in Reds at the 14 May 2026 contemporary evening sale, measured against the $70m low estimate.

The pattern behind it

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The pattern is split and should be read as split: marquee estates beat their low estimates in four of five recent cases, but the broader season total rose year on year in only three of five. A great Rothko night does not guarantee a great half-year.

After a slump, big one-owner collections often restart the market. They bring top works, often with a price guaranteed in advance, and draw back buyers who ignored two years of weaker sales. These collections almost always do well. We looked at the last five big seasons to see whether sales across the whole season rose with them.